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Roger L. Martin's avatar

As usual, I am on the same wavelength as both of you.

The strategy problem is just a symptom of the greater problem of eliteness in modernity. Elite people want to learn tools that separate them from the masses, which has been around for a long time. Priests loved it when their tool was Latin and the masses couldn't understand what they are saying. Made them more powerful.

Same thing today. If you learn a set of analytical tools that most don't know, you can feel powerful by telling people who you think as lesser that they are in fact lesser and should listen to you.

And they perform your 'certainty theater' (like your term) and tell those people who object that they are objecting only because they are lesser.

But I think it is coming to an end - or at least a retrenchment. But if business schools don't get the picture, they are going to destroy themselves.

Roger L. Martin's avatar

I buy your entire diagnosis, Felipe. And it is going to be a tough road to something better. I guess I think there is going to be a 'premium' market for real strategy - it will be smaller and higher priced. And then there will be a giant market for stuff masquerading as strategy. I don't think that is going to go away because the buyers of that slop can't tell the difference. In the end, it will be the rich getting richer and the poor getting poorer. AG Lafley didn't really need me as a strategic advisor because he knew what strategy was and was very talented. But since he did know its importance, he wanted to be better still. And P&G got richer. Same with Jorgen Vig Knudstorp at Lego.

Verizon is a great such story. Lowell McAdam was an excellent CEO but he wanted to have the best strategy possible and he worked closely with me until his retirement - at which time VZ was on top by far and had the leading market cap to show for it. His successor had no idea what strategy was and employed a head of strategy who didn't either. He tanked the market position and the market cap - they trail AT&T and T-Mobile now. And he got sacked. He needed me infinitely more than Lowell did. But he had no idea that was true. So he got very bad strategy 'help' and 'advice.' And all employees, shareholders and customers suffer.

I don't know how we are going to overcome this adverse selection process.

Best

Roger

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